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So, we now have an explanation for why the IPCC report concluded that “…human influence has been the dominant cause of the observed warming since the mid-20th century.” But, this leads to another question. Where did the “more than 95% likely” and “extremely likely” bit come from? And why was it only “more than 90% likely” or “very likely” in the 4th Assessment Report? The hottest viking wolf all over print air jordan 13 sneakers Surprisingly, the origin of these probabilities and likelihoods has not actually been fully explained. The simulation results for both sets are fairly similar up to the mid-20th century. However, after then, the models in the top panel show very strong “global warming”, while the models in the bottom panel don’t. Second, they took a second set of climate model simulations which were identical to the first set, except that CO2 concentrations were kept constant at 19th century levels. These simulation results are shown in the bottom panel of Figure 5. Each of the thin orange lines corresponds to the simulation results from one of the “CMIP5” climate

 

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