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around the world have analysed the combined effect of adding up all the NDCs. Such analyses show that current pledges are not on track to limit global warming to above preindustrial levels. If current pledges for 030 are achieved but no more, researchers find very few ways to reduce emissions after 030 sufficiently quickly to limit warming to . This, in turn, suggests that with the national pledges as they stand, warming would exceed , at least for a period of time, and practices and technologies that remove COfrom the atmosphere at a global scale would be required to return warming to at a later date. Once scientists have defined ‘preindustrial’, the next step is to calculate the amount of warming at any given time relative to that reference period. In this report, warming is defined as the increase in the 30year global average of combined air temperature over land and water temperature at the ocean surface. The 30year timespan accounts for the effect of natural variability, which can cause global temperatures to fluctuate from one year to the next. For example, 015 and 016 were both affected by a strong El Niño event, which amplified the underlying humancaused warming. Carbon dioxide removal or ‘negative emissions’ activities are considered in this report as distinct from the above mitigation activities. While most mitigation

sunset on the beach and motorcycles all over print hawaiian shirt 1
sunset on the beach and motorcycles all over print hawaiian shirt 1

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