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Run EBM using a post-1970 baseline and numbers also increase. Below is a non-linear EBM, which fits obs well, and with ECS similar to climate models. Exactly why are you sure a single global value for aerosol effect is less accurate? It sounds more like a statement of faith than reason. While climate models can’t match the patterns in our single climate realization. They do provide an estimate of how much variability we might expect from one realization to another; fairly substantial it turns out, mainly due to variation in ocean circulation interacting with sea ice and clouds. The hottest mandala yoga life style full printing rompers  There are great exaggeratons and great oversimplification in the aerosol effects. Human emissions is only a part of the total emission. Nature gives a great component. So the offset of warming is much smaller than assumed. Frank, a recent measurement study found a large indirect aerosol effect, larger than that used in climate models . Several other recent studies have also found large aerosal effects, direct and indirect, so don’t agree with your text above re-aerosals. Aerosal effects are still uncertain and limit the

 

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